Aug 21
Comparison of the 2017 ICO bubble, 2021 NFT boom and 2024 memecoin boom.
This article examines the recurring pattern of speculative booms in the crypto world, focusing on the ICO bubble of 2017, the NFT boom of 2021, and the memecoin craze of 2024.
Introduction
Every cryptocurrency cycle follows a familiar pattern: a sector sees rapid growth, sparking widespread speculation and soaring prices, only to be followed by a sharp market correction. We've seen this with the ICO bubble in 2017, the NFT boom in 2021, and the memecoin craze of 2024.
In each case, retail investors rushed to take advantage of the latest trend, fueling intense speculation. As more projects flooded the market, the frenzy eventually led to a collapse, with many ventures failing and investors facing losses. Despite the similarities in growth and decline, these phases were driven by different technologies and ideas: ICOs in 2017 represented decentralized fundraising, NFTs in 2021 redefined digital ownership, and memecoins in 2024 thrived on community-driven hype. Each cycle has shaped the crypto landscape in its own way while reinforcing the speculative nature of the market.
The ICO Bubble of 2017
The ICO bubble of 2017 was the first mainstream moment of crypto. ICOs allowed startups to raise capital by issuing new cryptocurrencies or tokens directly to investors, typically based on the Ethereum blockchain. This model bypassed traditional venture capital and regulatory frameworks, enabling anyone with a whitepaper to attract significant investment. The total amount raised by ICOs skyrocketed from $4.9 billion in 2017 to $33.4 billion in 2018. However, as the market became saturated, it quickly became apparent that many ICOs were either outright scams or failed to deliver on their promises. By 2019, the market had collapsed, with many tokens losing nearly all their value.
The ICO boom tested the limits of the Ethereum network, which struggled to cope with the volume of transactions. This period also marked the beginning of regulatory scrutiny, as authorities worldwide began to crack down on fraudulent ICOs. Despite its collapse, the ICO bubble played a crucial role in demonstrating the potential of blockchain technology for decentralized fundraising, even though the market was not ready for the level of hype it generated.
The NFT Boom of 2021
Fast forward to 2021, and the cryptocurrency space saw the rise of NFTs. Unlike ICOs, which were primarily speculative investments in future projects, NFTs represented ownership of digital assets such as art, music, and in-game items. The NFT market exploded with sales like Beeple's Everydays: The First 5,000 Days, which sold for $69 million, capturing the public's imagination and driving the market to a valuation of $40 billion at its peak.
NFTs introduced a new dimension to digital ownership and creativity, leveraging blockchain technology to establish provenance and authenticity for digital assets. However, the NFT market was also flooded with low-effort projects aimed at quick profits, leading to concerns about its long-term sustainability. The market eventually cooled, and by 2022, many NFTs had lost significant value, but the technology behind them continues to evolve and find new applications beyond just speculative trading.
The Memecoin Craze of 2024
The most recent surge in speculative interest has centered around memecoins in 2024, particularly within the Solana ecosystem. Much like the ICO craze, the memecoin boom has been driven by speculative fervor, with investors pouring into tokens with little to no intrinsic value beyond their meme status. This boom has drawn comparisons to the 2017 ICO bubble, with Solana experiencing network congestion and delays in token rollouts due to the overwhelming demand.
Memecoins, much like NFTs and ICOs before them, have attracted a significant retail investor base, driven largely by social media and the promise of quick riches. While some memecoins like Dogecoin and Shiba Inu have achieved significant market caps, the vast majority are highly volatile and often lack any real utility or development roadmap.
Key Comparisons and Contrasts
While all three of these booms share common traits—rapid market growth, speculative excess, and eventual market corrections—they differ in several important ways. The ICO bubble was characterized by its role in pioneering decentralized fundraising but suffered from a lack of regulation and rampant fraud. The NFT boom built on the growing infrastructure of decentralized finance (DeFi) and offered a new form of digital ownership, though it too was marred by speculative excess. The ongoing memecoin boom, meanwhile, represents the latest iteration of speculative mania in the crypto world, driven by community-driven hype and low entry barriers.
Each of these market phases has tested the underlying blockchain infrastructure, from Ethereum’s struggles during the ICO craze to Solana’s recent congestion issues. However, they have also contributed to the maturation of the crypto ecosystem, leading to more robust platforms and increased regulatory attention.
Conclusion
The ICO bubble, NFT boom, and memecoin surge all illustrate the cyclical nature of speculative investment in emerging technologies. While each brought unique innovations to the blockchain space, they also highlighted the risks associated with unbridled speculation. As the market continues to evolve, the lessons learned from these events will likely shape the future of crypto, driving it toward more sustainable and impactful applications.
Disclaimer: Nothing on this site should be construed as a financial investment recommendation. It’s important to understand that investing is a high-risk activity. Investments expose money to potential loss.